Dynasty Buys and Sells

Dynasty season is here. Who should you look to buy or sell this off season?

Obligatory disclaimer: these lists do not mean you HAVE to try and buy or sell these guys. It just means there might be avenues to capitalizing on value amongst your league mates.

It’s trade season in dynasty land. Valuations across the community and each individual league are wildly different. A lot of what is said in these types of articles are common opinions, but I promise you they aren’t universal. The name of the game is acquiring value. Trying to execute it is where the championship GM’s separate themselves.

Sell high

2025 pick 2

Don't get me wrong... Dylan Harper is the clear number 2 in this draft and a fantastic prospect. The rim pressure and finishing ability is elite and I have no doubt he will be a great pro.

Having said that, I've seen a bunch of commentary from people who believe Harper is closer to Cooper Flagg than he is the field and I just can't quite agree with that.

We also know point guard is the toughest position to adjust to in the NBA and 'surefire' prospects don't always immediately pan out (Sorry Scoot... I still believe).

With the hype around Harper as it is right now, I wouldn't be surprised at all of his value takes a dip over the next 12 months. Sell now, buy later? It's a risk for sure, but one that I think should be considered.

Josh Giddey

Should be fairly self evident, the efficiency is unsustainable and I don't think he can be 'that guy' on a winning team. Some people out there are buying his late season performance as the new norm in Chicago... I'd personally be looking for those managers and shipping Giddey off.

2024 Rookies

A lot of us know the classic play in dynasty basketball of selling high after a surprisingly strong rookie campaign (and buying low after a ‘sophomore slump’ but more on that in our next edition of buys and sells). What you need to do is identify why you think a rookie’s performance isn’t indicative of their future outlook.

One thing to look for is rookies who outperform expectations especially in the back end of the season as teams throw their youth out on the court in high usage roles to see what they’ve got… Isaiah Collier is a perfect example.

Another one to look for is rookies filling an obvious hole in a teams rotation who you aren’t convinced that team is going to settle for that player there. Yves Missi had a great rookie season compared to expectations, but do you think New Orleans are satisfied with him as their long term starter? I don’t.

I love Steph Castle and some here at Point Made are very high on him. But in a a rookie class seen as and (IMO) proven to be on the weaker side… the rookie of the year award might not mean everything it normally would. Castle was given a whole lot of usage down the stretch that I just can’t see as remotely sustainable on a roster with Wemby, Fox and potentially Dylan Harper.

Got a rookie who you think is pulling the wool over the communities eyes? Fantastic time to sell.

Dyson Daniels

I love Dyson, and like a lot of people I invested hard in The e Great Barrier Thief after his trade to Atlanta and boy oh boy did that pay off. Dyson exploded this past season, averaging 3 steals per game on his way to taking out the MIP award

Long time holders and pre season investors are laughing to bank, but should we actually be looking to part ways?

9 cat fantasy basketball has a habit of over valuing players based off outlier results in high variance/low volume categories like steals.

I think Dyson has plenty of room to grow in his scoring and playmaking but I will be shocked if his steals don't regress a bit and I think Dyson hype is at a fever pitch this off season. Unless we are talking about those bona fide top 10 dynasty assets, peak hype is always a good time to sell if you can avoid getting caught up in it and identify it.

Buy Low

LaMelo Ball

We know this one... We've been here before. If he can get healthy, insane fantasy player, top 5-10 asset. The believers are getting fewer and fewer and I imagine anyone who does believe already owns, but if you don't... Why not with what his price point is likely to be?

Scoot Henderson

The dynasty community was clearly wrong on Scoot before his draft. Touted as a near consensus top 20 asset, we (mostly) all missed on Scoot.

As a general rule, people hate being wrong. And the NBA and fantasy world turned hard on Scoot through his rough rookie year. I think a lot of people have really struggled to get over that miss in judgement to the point they can't or won't see the strides he made in the back half of last season.

Year 3 is often a turning point for guards in the league. Is the top 20 asset we thought Scoot would be still hiding in there? I don't think so. But I also think there's a lot of positive movement coming for Scoot in year 3.

Between writing this up and posting it, Portland have moved Anfernee Simons for Jrue Holiday. I think this will provide a solid bump to Scoot in the short term and hopefully a big bump in the long term as Scoot learns off an incredible leader in Jrue.

Shaedon Sharpe (BIAS ALERT)

Shaedon is currently a really interesting case of analytics vs eye test. The data says he can't shoot or pass... Watching him as he learns to navigate the PnR or showcasing his impressive footwork paints a different story. He's patient. He's smart. He goes from slow to quick and back to slow seamlessly as he navigates the court.

Shaedon is already an elite rim finisher and mid range shooter. If the 3 ball comes back to his rookie season numbers, he's an elite 3 level scorer who has shown strong rebounding potential from the guard position and an ability to be a secondary playmaker.

The Anfernee Simons for Jrue Holiday trade opens things up for Shaedon more than anyone else I believe. Simons as a high usage, shoot first guard is gone so Shaedon will need to take on more shot creation responsibility.

Defensively, he has a long way to go. But I'm buying Shaedon stock right now anticipating a big jump this year.

Kyrie Irving

Chances are Kyrie is on a contending team in your league already. Might be a surprising one here but I rebuilding teams need to reach out and see if they can pry Kyrie this off season. Contending in dynasty is a tight rope and rostering a high level player in your IR for most or all of the season is a challenge few can overcome.

This isn’t Jayson Tatum, who is only 19 27 years old and who contenders will either hold or be able to sell at regular value. This is 33 year old Kyrie, with question marks over whether he can get back to his best or not.

His price should be dirt cheap. Potentially a low risk, high reward acquisition if he comes back near his old self and you can sell to the highest bidder at the deadline or next off season.